Ryan Elijah Leads Florida CD-7 GOP Primary by 13 Points | NVS Poll

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE | Published on: 08/17/2026

NATIONAL VICTORY STRATEGIES POLL: RYAN ELIJAH LEADS FL-CD7 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY BY 13 POINTS

Text-to-web survey of 303 likely Republican primary voters finds Elijah at 42.9%, Cory Lee Mills at 29.7%, with 13.5% undecided one day before the August 18 primary.

FLORIDA - A new poll of likely Republican primary voters in Florida's 7th Congressional District, conducted by National Victory Strategies on August 17, finds Ryan Elijah leading the field with 42.90% support. Cory Lee Mills follows at 29.70%, giving Elijah a 13.20-point advantage heading into the August 18 Republican Primary Election.

Sarah Ulrich receives 9.24%, Michael Don Johnson receives 4.62%, and 13.53% of voters remain undecided. The electorate is highly engaged: 37.62% report they have already voted, 59.74% say they are definitely voting, and 2.64% say they are likely to vote.

KEY FINDINGS

• Ryan Elijah leads with 42.90% support.

• Cory Lee Mills is second at 29.70%, putting Elijah ahead by 13.20 points.

• Sarah Ulrich receives 9.24%; Michael Don Johnson receives 4.62%.

• 13.53% of likely Republican primary voters are undecided.

• 37.62% have already voted; 59.74% are definitely voting; 2.64% are likely voting.

METHODOLOGY

The survey was conducted via text-to-web on August 17, 2026, with 303 registered voters randomly selected from a predetermined group of highly likely Republican primary voters in Florida's 7th Congressional District.

Completions were matched back to the original voter file, and the sample was structured to correlate with the demographic profile of likely 2026 Republican Primary Election voters in the district.

The margin of error is +/- 5.6 points at a 95% confidence interval.

Sample Demographics & Methodology

ABOUT NATIONAL VICTORY STRATEGIES

National Victory Strategies (NVS) is a national polling and media firm with more than a decade of experience. The firm delivers strategic guidance, market insight, and media expertise powered by actionable data across a wide range of public policy, political, and corporate issues.

NVS has polled from local municipalities to national campaigns and operates in more than 30 states, including key battlegrounds such as Florida, Texas, Georgia, Nevada, Arizona, North Carolina, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.

While national in scope, NVS has deep expertise in one of the country’s most complex and influential audiences: the Hispanic/Latino electorate.

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